AAEA Choice 专辑《中美贸易冲突对农业的潜在影响》文章5篇
导言：
Theme Overview: U.S.–China Trade Dispute and PotentialImpacts on Agriculture
Mary A. Marchant and H. HollyWang
The U.S. and China have dueled in an escalating trade dispute since early 2018. This theme recaps tariff actions, emphasizing agriculture; reviews the importance of U.S.–China agricultural trade; and introduces a series of papers that examine the potential impacts of such tariffs.
五篇文章简介如下：
Predicting Potential Impacts of China’s RetaliatoryTariffs on the U.S. Farm Sector
Yuqing Zheng, Dallas Wood, H.Holly Wang, and Jason P. H. Jones
In April 2018, China proposed import tariffs up to 25% on hundreds of U.S. products, includingsoybeans, cotton, sorghum, and pork. We analyze the potential impact of these tariffs on U.S. domestic prices, production, and economic welfare. U.S. exports to China could decrease as much as 83%.
Impacts of Possible Chinese 25% Tariff on U.S. Soybeansand Other Agricultural Commodities
Farzad Taheripour and Wallace E.Tyner
If China imposes a 25% tariff on U.S. agricultural products, after multi-year adjustments, U.S.exports of soybeans to China will drop 69%, costing the United States and China each $2.5 billion annually. With this tariff, Brazil will export 27% moresoybeans to China and annually gain $2.1 billion.
Upheaval in China’s Imports of U.S. Sorghum
James Hansen, Mary A. Marchant,Wei Zhang, and Jason Grant
China’s recent policies on the sorghum market and imports of sorghum as a substitute forhigher-priced domestic corn are discussed. Recent trade-restricting actions and reversals against imports of U.S. sorghum raise uncertainty for U.S. farmers,exporters, and Chinese importers.
Chinese Trade Retaliation May Diminish U.S. Wine Export Potential
Amanda M. Countryman and AndrewMuhammad
China responded to U.S. Section 232 tariffs on imported steel and aluminum by imposing retaliatory tariffs on 128 U.S.-sourced products, including wine. This article describesthe current composition of the Chinese wine import market and the potential negativeimpacts of the retaliatory tariff on U.S. wine exports to China.
China’s Potential Cotton Tariffs and U.S. Cotton Exports:Lessons from History
Yangxuan Liu, John R. C.Robinson, and W. Donald Shurley
A Chinese import tariff on U.S. cotton could cause near-term market disruptions. But, recenthistory shows that Chinese cotton policy interventions have caused only a“reshuffling” in global cotton trade. Such an outcome could minimize the longer-term impacts of a potential Chinese tariff on U.S. cotton exports.
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编者注：
本推文内容转自：
http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-china-trade-dispute-and-potential-impacts-to-agriculture
PDF版本下载：
http://www.choicesmagazine.org/UserFiles/file/cmstheme_633.pdf
现在国内乡村振兴的会议那么多，建议组织开一些有关中美贸易冲突对农业、农民、农村影响的学术讨论会，建议学术期刊出专辑
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